Month-wise variation and prediction of bulk tank somatic cell count in Brazilian dairy herds and its impact on payment based on milk quality

Table 4 Future values of bulk tank somatic cell count (BTSCC) ± forecast error obtained from time series modeling per payment program based on milk quality (PPBMQ) class for the months of 2016^a

	BTSCC predicted value ± standard error × 1000 cells/mL
Month	Class 1¹	Class 2¹	Class 3¹	Class 4¹	Class 5¹
January/2016	206 ± 9	366 ± 14	589 ± 21	753 ± 27	1196 ± 58
February/2016	210 ± 11	382 ± 16	609 ± 24	783 ± 30	1218 ± 64
March/2016	208 ± 11	372 ± 18	582 ± 28	738 ± 33	1224 ± 76
April/2016	210 ± 12	366 ± 20	582 ± 31	765 ± 36	1227 ± 83
May/2016	195 ± 14	350 ± 22	546 ± 34	704 ± 39	1156 ± 91
June/2016	194 ± 14	355 ± 24	544 ± 37	725 ± 41	1149 ± 98
July/2016	204 ± 15	349 ± 26	530 ± 40	727 ± 43	1108 ± 105
August/2016	197 ± 16	347 ± 27	527 ± 42	710 ± 46	1069 ± 111
September/2016	196 ± 17	336 ± 28	511 ± 45	701 ± 48	1032 ± 117
October/2016	206 ± 18	357 ± 30	552 ± 47	737 ± 50	1122 ± 123
November/2016	214 ± 18	382 ± 31	593 ± 49	788 ± 52	1205 ± 128
December/2016	222 ± 19	401 ± 32	594 ± 51	814 ± 54	1202 ± 133

^aThe classes were based on the payment programs based on milk quality of 13 milk buyers in Brazil; ¹Class 1–1000 to 200,000 cells/mL, Class 2–201,000 to 400,000 cells/mL, Class 3–401,000 to 500,000 cells/mL, Class 4–501,000 to 800,000 cells/mL, Class 5 - > 800,000 cells/mL

ISSN: 2046-0481